A team from Chengdu University and collaborating hospitals developed a gradient boosting machine learning model to assess sleep disorder risk in older adults with multimorbidity. By integrating demographic, clinical, and behavioral data, and using SHAP values for interpretability, the model highlights pivotal predictors such as frailty, cognitive function, and nutritional status to support targeted interventions.
Key points
- Applied gradient boosting machine on 471 multimorbid seniors, achieving AUC=0.881 for sleep disorder risk prediction.
- Employed LASSO and Boruta for feature selection, identifying seven predictors: frailty, cognitive status, nutritional status, living alone, depression, smoking, and anxiety.
- Used SHAP analysis for model interpretability, quantifying each feature’s contribution to facilitate personalized risk assessment.
Why it matters: This interpretable ML framework transforms sleep disorder risk stratification for seniors with multimorbidity, enabling precision interventions and improved geriatric care.
Q&A
- What is multimorbidity?
- How does SHAP make the model explainable?
- Why use gradient boosting over logistic regression?
- What is SMOTE and why was it applied?